It's been Jets -3 every time I looked, including before the Favre trade and after Chad signed with them. I don't know if it moved during then, I don't check it every day, but I don't think it did.
It is a bit strange I guess. The o/u is only 36 too. Some factors: Home team gets 3 to start so in a neutral location vegas would have it at 6. Miami in September is usually real hot and we're not used to that. We were only 4-12 last year and both teams have improved. Neither Favre or Penny will know the offense 100%. There probably isn't much money being bet on week one right now. Once people start betting if the line goes up we'll know how confident vegas is. edit: The fact that the line didn't change in between the signings or after both is real weird.
Another interesting line: GB -3.... Really? Lol... But yeah, they'll never make GB a dog at home against the Vikes cause that will certainly raise eyebrows. I for one think GB will come out flat as shit. All over Vikes +3 on this one....
I'm still thinking this one comes down to the final drive. The next time they meet will be another story.
Wouldn't this be a sucker bet? I am guessing the majority of the money will be on Minn. None of my buddies like GB -3 against a pretty good Vikings team that is hyped + the potential extra motivation that GB screwed them on the Favre deal. I'm just saying...
Dennis--just to let ya know, I have a loudmouth on my street who is a huge charger fan. He knows I like the jets. Before the 2004 jet/charger playoff game he waltzed down and asked me about a straight (no points) bet on the game. When I said "maybe" he said "Shall we say $500.00?" I said no, and we didn't bet. As you know the jets won in OT. Getting the $500.00 FROM HIM would have been sweet, but I passed. Oh, well.
All Valid concerns however consider: 1. Rodgers is starting his first game in the shadow of Favre. Regardless of what he or anyone else says it will be in his head. 2. Minnesota is a top 5 D. 3. Adrian Peterson and the backup Taylor is no chump either. Elite defense and elite running game will win you the spread more often than not, especially against what is essentially a Rookie at QB
Minnesota has the off-season hype every year, nothing comes of it. Last time it was their acquisition of all-world lineman Steve Hutchinson. They had all of these factors last year (except playing against Rodgers) and were swept by the Pack. We've beaten them four straight. Last time we beat them 34-0. I don't know about point spreads but I like the Pack's chances to win. When Tarvaris Jackson stops throwing jump passes, then we'll talk.
Which is exactly the reason MIN is a +EV bet. I don't see GB winning this by a touchdown. The +3 is gravy
Post your picks for all the games week 1 and I'll do the same. All my vcash says I pick at a higher % :beer:
The only player on the Dolphins that continues to worry me is Ricky Willaims. He looked good so far and he has caused the Jets big problems in the past. If we can contain him we will win.
if we can't contain him with 8 men in the box (against pennington) yes, the team is in trouble this year
Cool, post em! http://thegreek.com/sports/football/fblines.asp?selection=week&date=9/2/2008&cb=0.3500999
Im not allowed to post links, but Blogging The Pigskin released their AFC East preview. Complimentary toward the Jets. bloggingthepigskin.blogspot.com
