Sorry if this has already been posted, I didn't see it anywhere though. But how is this possible? Does this make sense to anybody else? I know that Cleveland has played some tight games and they are at home, but still, it seems pretty outlandish to me. When I went onto sportsbook.com I figured that we would be at least 3 point favorites.
I expected the Jets to be -1, BUT remember, Vegas lines are made to attempt to split the betting 50/50. They usually give 3 points to the home team... For instance, if CLE is favorite by 1.5, they'd be 1.5 underdogs on a neutral field, and 4.5 underdogs at the Meadowlands.
I could never bet football, On any given Sunday just about any team can win. Look at Tamba. Enough said.
Spread opened at +2..so that was a quick drop. Wouldnt be surprised to see it go lower..close to pickem. And champ..we may be crazy..but not stupid..lol. This game scares me. Those guys in Vegas know what they are doing. They say home field advantage is worth 4-6 points..which means the Jets would be favored at home...but they are not home. Browns fired their OC. A new guy comes in and takes some chances. Jets better be ready for this one. EDIT: Just checked the vegas lines..it still says +2.
What I've always heard is that home field is worth 3 points, but what it's really worth is what the bettors say it's worth. As noted earlier, the line is about only one thing, and that's balancing the bets. I don't find this line surprising at all. The Browns have had a brutal schedule - they've lost to New Orleans, Cincinnati, Baltimore, Carolina, and Denver. I don't see the Jets beating any of those teams, so if schedules had been reversed, it could easily be the Jets who were 1-5 coming into this game.
Hey, I hope that opposing coaches and players and the odds makers keep underestimating us all season long.
It depends on the team staff...if a team has a very solid home record over a period (say the Chiefs) if they were 3 point dogs on the road..they wouldnt be a pickem at home. They could easily be a -3 at home. For the record..this isnt my business..lol..but I have a couple friends that know what they are talking about. In college..its even greater...a home team that is giving a touchdown could be a dog in some games..depending again on how good a team is at home. EDIT: just came to mind..perfect example is Rutgers/Pitt. Believe it or not...Rutgers was a 6.5 point dog in pitt...now if rutgers was home..the wouldnt be getting any points at all..and would be a favorite..possibly a field goal..which is a 9.5 point swing.
Well, I show Cleveland on my sheets as 0-3 @ Home, 1-2 Away, and 2-4 against the spread. Their results by week: vs NO: L: 19-14 @Cinci: L: 34-17 vs. Bal: L: 15-14 @Oak: W: 24-21 @ Car: L: 20-10 vs. Den: L: 17-7 The Jets @Home: 2-2, Away: 2-1, vs Spread: 4-3 Week by week: @Tenn: W: 23-16 vs. NE: L: 24-17 @Buff: W: 28-20 vs. Indy: L: 31-28 @Jack: L: 41-0 vs. Miami: W: 20-17 vs. Detroit: W: 31-24 Cleveland has played 5 of 6 against legit playoff teams, and the final scores of all are at least respectable, given that it's Cleveland. Some of those games were even very close. On the other hand, we've played 3 legit playoff contenders, and lost to all three. While Jacksonville was the only blowout, we still let the teams we should be better than stay way too close. I wouldn't underestimate Cleveland right now. I'll be putting my bet on the Jets this week, but I do that almost every single week. I think I have taken our opponent twice in the past three years, and both times it was because the spread was too far in our favor. I like the Jets being underdogs. It makes it so much easier to just root for the win, and not have to worry about scoring an extra FG in garbage time when we're ahead.
Yup, and home field. A lot of people still are judging the Jets by the 2005 Herm, Brooks Bollinger standards. Why anyone still thinks that translates to now is beyond me, but they do.
1.5 points Browns is probably the right spread. The Jets have blown nobody out this year and have played very tight games on the road as a rule. The Jets need to bring their "A" game on Sunday or they'll be 4-4 going into the bye.
Cleveland isn't a great matchup for the Jets. I'd much rather play a team with a pretty good offense and a bad defense then the other way around. Cleveland's run D seems to be their soft spot so hopefully Washington can have another good game.
This makes no sense. The Jets are 4-3, the Browns are 1-5. The Browns lossed to 5 quality teams and beat one crappy team. The Jets lossed to 3 quality teams and beat 4 crappy teams. Except for the blowout to Jax, the other games were all close losses. How the hell are the browns favored?
