Historical Stats say we need some blowouts

Discussion in 'New York Jets' started by rdc2000, Nov 16, 2010.

  1. rdc2000

    rdc2000 New Member

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    Chase Stuart of Pro-Football-Reference.com writes in today's Fifth Down blog in the NY Times about the Jets record and number of close games as a possible predictor of future success.

    The long and the short of it is that teams with 7-2 records with this many close games win an average of 3.23 games the rest of the way.

    As much grit, fortitude and talent we've shown, the numbers seem to say that winning big matters too. There's 4 or 5 opportunities for big, convincing wins the rest of the way, we need to start taking advantage and put the end of season historical stats back in our favor..
     
  2. ukilledkenny

    ukilledkenny You bastards!

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    I wonder what going 10.23-5.77 will do to the playoff seedings.
     
  3. GordonGecko

    GordonGecko Well-Known Member

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    pretty meaningless stats



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  4. Jetfan76

    Jetfan76 Well-Known Member

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    Just dont see us winning big for the rest of the season.This team seems destined to kill off its fans with strokes by seasons end.When every team is playin us like its the Superbowl its gonna be tuff to get blowouts.Take this coming week for instance,Houston's season is on the line pretty much!
     
  5. KWJetsFan

    KWJetsFan Well-Known Member

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    Jets are hard to figure out. All that matters is winning, and it's hard to argue 7-2. However, when you look deeper, we've only beaten 2 teams with a winning record (NE & Miami), and out of those 2, only NE is "elite". We've really struggled to beat some mediocre to bad teams.

    Again though, a win is a win is a win.
     
  6. Jets201

    Jets201 New Member

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    F what these numbers have to say, this is not baseball. What do the numbers have to say about the Broncos getting undressed by the Raiders (the RAIDERS!)at home, giving up 59 points and then destroying the Chiefs two weeks later, nearly putting up just as many points? None of those teams are going anywhere. Wins are all that matters, when it's playoff time nobody gives a shit about how much you win by in week 9
     
  7. GordonGecko

    GordonGecko Well-Known Member

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    Talk about SOJ-Fan thinking. Jets are working things out, by the time the season ends this offense is going to be one finely tuned machine and the defense will be even better. Meanwhile, Jets are in first place 7-2. There is pretty much nothing to worry about except Folk


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  8. WhiteShoeWillis

    WhiteShoeWillis Well-Known Member

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    You get one "W" or one "L" in the standings regardless of how many points you win or lose by. I don't really care what history says about teams playing close games. Seems like a silly article to me.
     
  9. Jetfan76

    Jetfan76 Well-Known Member

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    Not SOJ thinking.Take a look at the schedule do you really expect to blowout the Pats at home,Pittsburg at home,Chicago at home in the freezing late december weather,division game against Miami who as of late always plays us tuff,Buffalo to close out the season who has improved much as of late and would love nothin more than to spoil our season with a loss at the end if it means win and get in for us.Obviously they will have nothin to play for at that point except pride!Not sayin we cant win all of these games but they are all most likely going to be hard fought!
     
  10. Jets201

    Jets201 New Member

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    How is it not SOJ thinking when this team is 7-2 and you are raising the possibility of having to play Buffalo in a win and you're in late season game, that would take a massive, SOJ like collapse that's not going to happen this year
     
  11. Jetfan76

    Jetfan76 Well-Known Member

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    Not necessarly a collapse but there are alot of other teams in the AFC that will have similar records including Baltimore which we already dont have the tiebreaker against.Plain and simple we need to win the division cause more than likely its going to take 11-5 at least this year to secure a playoff spot.
     
  12. Milliner is your Mommy

    Milliner is your Mommy Well-Known Member

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    Hes thinking logically. All that matters is winning and since we are on top teams are giving us their A effort which is why it will be difficult to blow other teams out. Not to mention we are a running team that eats clock and is not really supposed to blow teams out anyway.

    All road games are tough especially ones in NE, Pitt, Chi and divisional games at home can be just as tough.
     
  13. Milliner is your Mommy

    Milliner is your Mommy Well-Known Member

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    Thank you for ensuring everyone that the team will get better and that there is nothng to worry about. Now I guess there is nothing to discuss and we can just shut this site down.

    Im as optimistic as anyone that we are a superbowl contender but I dont know how anyone can make it seem that its going to be such a cake walk the rest of the way with NE playing the way they are.
     
  14. rdc2000

    rdc2000 New Member

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    It was a boring, number saturated article. But the number part rings true both statistically (according to the article) and common sense wise. Super Bowl champs dominate opponents at certain points throughout the year.
     
  15. Jetfan76

    Jetfan76 Well-Known Member

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    We just cant seem to shake that team from our backs and with all the picks they have coming in the next draft this team will not be goin away anytime soon.
     
  16. kinghenry89

    kinghenry89 New Member

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    Historical stats say that Rex Ryan needs to lose about 40 pounds--fat coaches don't win Superbowls.

    My point is, this debate is stupid.
     
  17. The Dark Knight

    The Dark Knight Well-Known Member

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    I look at it differently. The way I see it, the Jets have not clicked yet and are 7-2. When they do click, they will be unstoppable.
     
  18. Jets201

    Jets201 New Member

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    Tough games, sure but I think you'd have to be pretty pessimistic to envision a win and in scenario versus Buffalo. I have no reason to think that this offense will not improve by the end of the season.
     
  19. WhiteShoeWillis

    WhiteShoeWillis Well-Known Member

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    So if we dominate the Texans Sunday, our chances of winning the superbowl go up? Think about this, does that make any sense? But if we only beat them by a FG, we're not in good shape? What if we win the rest of the games on our schedule by 1 point, does that mean we don't have a good shot at a championship because we didn't blow anyone out?

    I understand it would feel better to dominate teams, but there is no "blowout" requirement for winning a championship.

    I think the more important thing, and what the historical blowouts probably indicate is a team executing well in all phases which we haven't really done yet.
     
  20. jets_fan_in_fishtown

    jets_fan_in_fishtown Active Member

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    this.....

    don't get why people don't understand this.
    teams pull out their biggest bag of trickeries and onside kicks against us.

    we put the target on ourselves, thing is...unlike the Miami Cheat, we can back it up
     

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